My daughter and I were watching Disney’s Silly Symphonies on Netflix this week and it was great to reminisce about when I was her age watching these same cartoons. I was also reminded just how political these cartoons got sometimes. Chicken Little is probably one of the more powerful wartime propaganda cartoons that I’ve seen. To the unsuspecting viewer, it’s just a cartoon about a timeless story with several explanations. However, Disney’s Chicken Little is much darker and has a message that is timeless even 75 years later.
Bernie Sanders wrote an op-ed for the Washington Post today and it was pretty ignorant, to say the least. It was about Trump’s deal made with Carrier, an air conditioning and refrigeration unit company and how it just showed other corporations “how to beat Donald Trump.” Sanders wasn’t known for his deep knowledge of economics on the campaign trail and he’s still showing that perhaps he still doesn’t understand something important.
Recently, we’ve heard people call for the abolishment of the electoral college. Mostly, it’s coming from people who don’t like Donald Trump and feel that the popular vote should be the determining factor in who wins the White House. There have been theories such as Hillary not being a decent candidate to Russia being involved (of course, right?). While one of these theories may have some validity, this isn’t the real reason why Hillary lost the electoral vote. She won the popular vote, but many people can’t figure out how she lost in the long run. That’s why I decided to sit down and try to explain it to everyone.
Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, has received plenty of endorsements by prominent leaders and other elected officials in America. A few states that I believe would be very helpful to Trump would be in battleground states and likely blue states where he has received endorsements from governors. This includes Maine (4 electoral votes), New Jersey (14 electoral votes), and Florida (29 electoral votes). Does Trump need to put a lot of effort in these states to win? Maybe, but it may not be as necessarily as one might think.
With Donald Trump as the presumptive nominee, it’s time for him to make some decisions about where to start campaigning a little harder. 270ToWin is a great resource for everyone to simulate presidential elections. This year, there’s a setting that allows you to see which states are considered (at least according to this site) battleground states. From there, you can test out your strategy and see if winning certain states will help your candidate. I decided to have a little fun and do this myself. I’ve also done an analysis of what would be beneficial to Trump.
Like it or not, Donald Trump is most likely going to win the Republican Party’s nomination before there is a chance for a contested or brokered convention. April has 309 delegates to allocate, mostly winner-take-all or winner-take-most. How are things going to look? Here are my predictions for each state in April.
I will update with new predictions before each primary is held and publish them sometime before each primary.