The November 2018 election in Oregon has an interesting twist — 16 State Legislature seats have incumbents with the Democratic, Independent, and Republican nominations. Most of them are Democrats, but some are Republican. Out of these 16 seats, there are six House seats, and one Senate seat, with Libertarian candidates. Assuming the Green Party doesn’t have candidates in most of these districts, these Libertarians will get a taste of what the two-party system is like.
After seeing video after video and several headlines about Larry Sharpe, the Libertarian Gubernatorial candidate in New York, I decided to reach out to him and ask if he had some details from his campaign or a little message he’d like to include in this article. He graciously offered to do a phone interview. I was excited to take him up on his offer.
When people think of Oregon, they often think about how liberal the state is. Of course, there are two “hot spots” for the far left: Portland and Eugene. But what many might not realize is that there are two state house seats in Eugene that are very competitive and just might have a shot at being taken by Republicans in 2018. One district has a rural advantage and the other one has an anomalous constituency with a decent mix of urban and rural residents. Here’s my take on the two districts and the Republican path to victory in each.
On April 1, President Trump tweeted that he was taking the DACA deal off the table. This comes after offering a path to citizenship to 1.8 million DREAMers earlier this year. Why didn’t congressional Democrats jump on this opportunity? People are left to speculate for themselves, but Democratic voters who care about immigration reform should be raising some eyebrows at their own party for its inaction on the president’s offer.
Border Patrol Agents are not allowed to properly do their job at the Border because of ridiculous liberal (Democrat) laws like Catch & Release. Getting more dangerous. “Caravans” coming. Republicans must go to Nuclear Option to pass tough laws NOW. NO MORE DACA DEAL!
Recently, we’ve heard people call for the abolishment of the electoral college. Mostly, it’s coming from people who don’t like Donald Trump and feel that the popular vote should be the determining factor in who wins the White House. There have been theories such as Hillary not being a decent candidate to Russia being involved (of course, right?). While one of these theories may have some validity, this isn’t the real reason why Hillary lost the electoral vote. She won the popular vote, but many people can’t figure out how she lost in the long run. That’s why I decided to sit down and try to explain it to everyone.
With Donald Trump as the presumptive nominee, it’s time for him to make some decisions about where to start campaigning a little harder. 270ToWin is a great resource for everyone to simulate presidential elections. This year, there’s a setting that allows you to see which states are considered (at least according to this site) battleground states. From there, you can test out your strategy and see if winning certain states will help your candidate. I decided to have a little fun and do this myself. I’ve also done an analysis of what would be beneficial to Trump.
Like it or not, Donald Trump is most likely going to win the Republican Party’s nomination before there is a chance for a contested or brokered convention. April has 309 delegates to allocate, mostly winner-take-all or winner-take-most. How are things going to look? Here are my predictions for each state in April.
I will update with new predictions before each primary is held and publish them sometime before each primary.
Earlier this year, I shared a meme about what Republicans and Democrats supported during historic political moments. It went over the 13th, 14th, and 15th amendments to the constitution and compared them to Obamacare in terms of who supported what. I quickly got some angry friends who said, “Hey! We all know that this is ridiculous because there was a political paradigm shift. The south used to be Democratic and now they’re Republican! The parties switched!”
While the part about the south is true, I’ve been asking myself this question for years: When exactly did the political parties shift and switch its ideology? I decided that it’s time to look into it and figure it out.